Beware of bonds
The website DailyFinance.com has an article by investment adviser and author Daniel Solin today advising investors to get out of the stock market and buy bonds.
This is frightening advice.
Even though it's true that there's no way to know if the stock market will go up or down from here, it's dead certain that bonds will go down.
Why?
Because when interest rates go up, the value of existing bonds with lower rates goes down.
So even if your bond, or bond fund, is paying a good rate of return, the new bonds will be paying a better one.
That means investors who buy bonds on the secondary market will pay less for the ones you own, and that translates to a loss of principal.
Let's say you invest $10,000 in a bond fund that has a terrific track record, and then interest rates go up.
You're going to open your statement at the end of the quarter and see that your $10,000 is worth less than $10,000. How much less? Well, that depends on how much interest rates have gone up, and how much money the mutual fund company sucked out of your investment for sales charges and expenses.
Of course, if interest rates go down, and the bonds in your fund are paying a higher interest rate than the new bonds coming out, your fund will go up in value because investors will pay more for old bonds with higher rates.
But when you look at where interest rates are right now, it's hard to see how they could go any lower.
The next move is most likely up, not down.
And that means it's a TERRIBLE time to buy bonds. You're probably buying at the all-time high. Unless you're prepared to hold that investment for a very, very long time, and you don't mind opening HORRIFYING statements every quarter in the meantime, DON'T BUY BONDS.
Here's what you want to do with your money, if you have money to invest.
Buy "How to Make Money and Lose Weight" for $9.95 and learn how not to get screwed by people who give investment advice but really make their money by selling you bad investments.
Or just read excerpts online for free. Click here to learn how to save your sanity by dollar-cost averaging into a no-load mutual fund. It's in chapter 1, "How to Make Money."
Bonds. Please. You'd be better off investing in Barry Bonds.
Copyright 2010
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